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Weekly Insights

Weekly Investment Insight. Growth Investor? Or Liquidity Speculator?

1. Growth Investor? Or Liquidity Speculator?  The chart above was produced by one of the world’s biggest hedge funds, Bridgewater. It shows that Growth as an investment factor in equities has persistently declined since the early 2000s. The US equity peaks have coincided with significant peaks in liquidity as a factor. Currently the gap has

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Weekly Investment Insight 09132021 – Inflation Pressure and Stagflation

1. Inflation is still trending higher. Inventory to sales reflects supply to demand. The everything shortage and price hikes mechanism is in full flow. This should be characterized as trending inflation. Check out the details from the Fed’s Beige Book. “We need lower consumer demand to give supply chains time to catch up… recover efficiency…

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Weekly Investment Insights 08162021

1. The folly of ruling out a collapse. The valuation metric that most closely inversely correlates with poor future long term returns is unequivocal. 2. “Scramble for survival” for the next decade. Don’t miss Larry Lindsay’s Interview. 3. “Noise. A flaw in Human Judgement.” Daniel Kahneman and others. New book, new astonishing insights.  “Wherever there is judgement

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