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Market Notes

US Stocks Discount Only A Mild Recession

Misinformation and cycle blindness seem to be dominant dangers for market participants. The charts below show there should be no confusion about the downcycle in growth, which is being reinforced by higher interest rates and QT. Yet the equity markets still discount only a mild cyclical slowdown AND a quick resolution of high inflation. This insight puts those perceptions in context

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Declining Workforce And Productivity. US Treasury Engagement. Druckenmiller, Jensen, And Roubini.

The under 55 US population fell 20m in the last 10 years,

Lower Productivity lowers growth raises inflation,

Tension Between Fiscal and Monetary Policy ….. US Treasury role expands,

189 of the SP500s companies have reported an aggregate year-over-year EPS DECLINE of -3.3%,

Stan Druckenmiller, Greg Jensen, and Nouriel Roubini Latest Videos

Declining Workforce And Productivity. US Treasury Engagement. Druckenmiller, Jensen, And Roubini. Read More »

Q3 2022 Review. Insight Track Record. Q4 2022 Outlook.

How can you ever really enjoy and relax about your current wealth and investment future unless accountability to capital preservation is hard wired into everything you are doing? Capital preservation must be your number one priority, as it is for all Best Investors. This does not mean you will make less in the long term? No. It means you will make more! It’s all in my book! https://geni.us/InvestLiketheBest

Q3 2022 Review. Insight Track Record. Q4 2022 Outlook. Read More »